Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.964977 1.088797 1.224058 1.383045 1.565134 1.767546 2.010125
2024-12-22 0.765855 0.930409 1.125356 1.374434 1.685768 2.064078 2.561641
2024-12-29 0.664764 0.848020 1.077158 1.386861 1.797807 2.328925 3.074694
2025-01-05 0.581161 0.770795 1.018376 1.368588 1.856521 2.520055 3.504058
2025-01-12 0.519956 0.712929 0.974379 1.359050 1.918282 2.713570 3.951578
2025-01-19 0.455442 0.642234 0.903374 1.300699 1.899815 2.785446 4.223709
2025-01-26 0.425041 0.615792 0.890681 1.322808 1.998142 3.035290 4.792050
2025-02-02 0.400100 0.594288 0.882091 1.348479 2.102185 3.302094 5.417475
2025-02-09 0.374738 0.569403 0.865404 1.358660 2.180848 3.534313 6.011506
2025-02-16 0.351554 0.545559 0.847677 1.364457 2.251312 3.758181 6.616388
2025-02-23 0.335072 0.530697 0.842474 1.389533 2.355527 4.048862 7.376559
2025-03-02 0.308606 0.497383 0.804273 1.354702 2.350946 4.145326 7.782634
2025-03-09 0.295782 0.486070 0.802347 1.383743 2.465722 4.475327 8.695431
2025-03-16 0.276041 0.461529 0.775973 1.366865 2.494362 4.647450 9.316507
2025-03-23 0.263154 0.447690 0.766801 1.379971 2.580100 4.937801 10.222265
2025-03-30 0.246653 0.426179 0.742204 1.361731 2.602457 5.103441 10.880641
2025-04-06 0.232911 0.408569 0.723207 1.352252 2.640828 5.305191 11.647136
2025-04-13 0.213720 0.379664 0.681254 1.294221 2.573970 5.277586 11.878997
2025-04-20 0.206608 0.372624 0.679660 1.316209 2.676131 5.625168 13.053454
2025-04-27 0.200401 0.366812 0.679885 1.341739 2.788193 6.007172 14.370974
2025-05-04 0.192778 0.357732 0.673038 1.351863 2.867305 6.323012 15.569537
2025-05-11 0.185186 0.348183 0.664530 1.357628 2.937028 6.624655 16.778228
2025-05-18 0.180127 0.343278 0.664938 1.382565 3.053111 7.050847 18.393788